After years of our economy ignoring the increasing price of
oil, 2008 has become the year of change. Not only are
fuel-inefficient airlines going bankrupt, but surviving ones are
reducing their flight schedules and raising fees on basic services
like checked bags. Automakers such as Ford and GM that depended on
big vehicles to make their profits are cutting back production and
lowering their expected profits (Aside: it’s too bad they
weren’t listening to those of us calling for them to produce
more efficient vehicles these past several years – instead of
dismissing us as annoying they could have recognized the
profitability of our better understanding of the world oil
market…). The price of small used cars is climbing, while
SUVs wait in lots falling in price as the fuel costs shoot upward.
And the pump price of gasoline approaches $3.90 nationwide while
diesel clocks in over $4.65!
People throughout the country are cutting back on driving,
with March 2008 showing the
biggest year-on-year reduction in miles driven since the
Federal Highway Administration began reporting the numbers in 1942,
at 4.3% or down 11 billion miles.
Other fossil fuel prices are rising on the back of $130+ oil.
Coal hit new records last
week trading more than $165 per ton (t) in European ports and more
than $120/t in Richards Bay South Africa and $112 in China.
Meanwhile
US natural gas approaches
$12 per million Btu, the highest price since the wake of Katrina.
Coming months may bring even higher prices of these fuels as June
weather drives up demand for cooling in the Northern Hemisphere and
heating in the Southern Hemisphere. Meanwhile, the cost of wind and
solar power stays flat – making them more and more attractive
as energy providers of the future.
These can be tough times for people who didn’t factor
in the possibility of higher fuel prices, but luckily many options
exist to address these difficulties – from switching to more
efficient cars to increased carpooling to bicycling to services
like Netflix to increases in telecommuting. America has the tools
to lower its dependence on 12 million barrels per day of foreign
oil and slow the ascent of fuel prices. I’m glad to see we
are finally starting to use them in 2008.
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